Championship · 2019/20
2020-07-01 · 18:00
12.0546.3%
X3.4027.9%
23.6825.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nott'm Forest
LWWWDWLDLW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Bristol City
WLLWWWLLDL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.10
1.30
Conceded
1.20
50%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.50
1H goals
0.80
1.10
2H goals
1.50
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
3.70N=10
5.90
Against
6.80
11.90
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.10
1.30
Goals conceded
1.20
2.60
Total goals
2.30
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Nott'm Forest attack

1.30goals per match
Bristol City conceded1.20
Matchup

Bristol City attack

1.10goals per match
Nott'm Forest conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.70
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
5.90
Corners against
6.80
11.90
Match total
10.50
90%9/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.10
Match total
3.70
30%3/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.10N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
23.80
Match total
24.60

Shots

14.00N=10
Shots
7.60N=10
3.90
On target
2.50
9%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches72
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.3%38.9%-7.4 pp
Draw27.9%36.1%+8.2 pp
Away25.8%25.0%-0.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.541.7%
Over 3.519.4%
BTTS58.3%

Historical average

1.251.15

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-123.6%
2-111.1%
1-09.7%
0-08.3%
1-26.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.384.07
Average total9.44

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=72.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.555.6%
Over 9.543.1%
Over 10.537.5%
Over 11.530.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches26
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT26.9%13.7%–46.1% CI
Draw FT50.0%32.1%–67.9% CI
Away FT23.1%11.0%–42.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.42

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.9%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals15.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home65.4%
Away53.8%