Championship · 2019/20
2020-06-30 · 19:45
11.2774.8%
X5.6516.8%
211.248.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Leeds
WDDLWLWWWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Luton
LLLLLLWLDW
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
0.60
0.90
Conceded
1.90
30%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
40%
By half
0.80
1H goals
1.30
1.70
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
8.20N=10
For
4.00N=10
3.60
Against
7.20
11.80
Total
11.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.60
0.90
Goals conceded
1.90
2.50
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Leeds attack
1.60goals per matchLuton conceded1.90Matchup
Luton attack
0.60goals per matchLeeds conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
0.10
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
8.20N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
3.60
Corners against
7.20
11.80
Match total
11.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.70
Match total
3.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.80N=10
Committed
13.80N=10
25.60
Match total
25.60
Shots
17.90N=10
Shots
7.20N=10
5.60
On target
1.70
9%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches20
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home74.8%90.0%+15.2 pp
Draw16.8%5.0%-11.8 pp
Away8.4%5.0%-3.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.575.0%
Over 3.540.0%
BTTS70.0%
Historical average
2.35–0.90
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-130.0%
3-120.0%
1-020.0%
3-45.0%
2-05.0%
Comparable corner averages
7.90–2.45
Average total10.35
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=20.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.575.0%
Over 9.565.0%
Over 10.545.0%
Over 11.530.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT81.8%52.3%–94.9% CI
Draw FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–25.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.91
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal90.9%
2+ goals45.5%
3+ goals27.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home90.9%
Away27.3%