Championship · 2019/20
2020-06-30 · 18:00
15.2018.2%
X3.7025.6%
21.6956.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Reading
LWWDLDLLWD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Brentford
LDLWDWDLDW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
1.70
1.20
Conceded
1.00
40%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.80
1H goals
1.70
1.60
2H goals
1.00
100%
Goal in 2H
50%
Corners
6.30N=10
For
6.40N=10
5.40
Against
3.40
11.70
Total
9.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.70
1.20
Goals conceded
1.00
2.40
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Reading attack
1.20goals per matchBrentford conceded1.00Matchup
Brentford attack
1.70goals per matchReading conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.90
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
6.40N=10
5.40
Corners against
3.40
11.70
Match total
9.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.60N=10
For
1.30N=10
3.90
Match total
3.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.20N=10
Committed
8.40N=10
24.70
Match total
18.80
Shots
12.80N=10
Shots
12.90N=10
4.00
On target
5.00
9%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches21
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home18.2%9.5%-8.7 pp
Draw25.6%33.3%+7.7 pp
Away56.1%57.1%+1.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.542.9%
Over 3.519.0%
BTTS61.9%
Historical average
1.00–1.62
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-123.8%
0-119.0%
1-214.3%
2-04.8%
0-24.8%
Comparable corner averages
4.19–5.33
Average total9.52
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=21.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.9%
Over 9.552.4%
Over 10.528.6%
Over 11.528.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.4%7.6%–47.6% CI
Draw FT21.4%7.6%–47.6% CI
Away FT57.1%32.6%–78.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.14
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal85.7%
2+ goals28.6%
3+ goals0.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home28.6%
Away64.3%