Championship · 2019/20
2020-06-30 · 17:00
12.5637.1%
X3.0531.1%
22.9831.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Millwall
DLWWWLDDDL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Swansea
LWLDLDDLDW
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.30
1.20
Conceded
1.80
40%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.50
1.50
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

7.00N=10
For
5.20N=10
3.60
Against
5.20
10.60
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.30
1.20
Goals conceded
1.80
2.50
Total goals
3.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Millwall attack

1.30goals per match
Swansea conceded1.80
Matchup

Swansea attack

1.30goals per match
Millwall conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.70
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.00N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
3.60
Corners against
5.20
10.60
Match total
10.40
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
2.60N=10
2.80
Match total
3.80
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

10.20N=10
Committed
11.70N=10
22.10
Match total
23.60

Shots

13.40N=10
Shots
12.90N=10
3.90
On target
3.30
10%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches88
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.1%34.1%-3.0 pp
Draw31.1%37.5%+6.4 pp
Away31.8%28.4%-3.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.7%
Over 2.543.2%
Over 3.525.0%
BTTS58.0%

Historical average

1.281.25

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-120.5%
1-012.5%
0-19.1%
2-29.1%
2-18.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.265.00
Average total10.26

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=88.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.2%
Over 9.558.0%
Over 10.545.5%
Over 11.534.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches30
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.7%21.9%–54.5% CI
Draw FT43.3%27.4%–60.8% CI
Away FT20.0%9.5%–37.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.37

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals43.3%
3+ goals10.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home66.7%
Away50.0%