Championship · 2019/20
2020-06-27 · 15:00
11.7753.5%
X3.6925.7%
24.5420.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Birmingham
DLLLLDWDDL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Hull
LLDWWLDLLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
0.90
2.30
Conceded
2.00
60%
Over 2.5
60%
90%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.80
1H goals
0.80
2.20
2H goals
2.10
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
4.30N=10
4.90
Against
4.40
10.40
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.90
2.30
Goals conceded
2.00
4.00
Total goals
2.90
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
90%9/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Birmingham attack

1.70goals per match
Hull conceded2.00
Matchup

Hull attack

0.90goals per match
Birmingham conceded2.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.20
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.70
1.40
2H goals conceded
1.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
80%8/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
4.90
Corners against
4.40
10.40
Match total
8.70
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.80
Match total
2.90
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

12.60N=10
Committed
13.30N=10
23.80
Match total
22.60

Shots

13.70N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
3.90
On target
2.60
12%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches58
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home53.5%56.9%+3.4 pp
Draw25.7%25.9%+0.2 pp
Away20.9%17.2%-3.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.9%
Over 2.551.7%
Over 3.520.7%
BTTS53.4%

Historical average

1.660.83

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-113.8%
2-012.1%
1-112.1%
1-012.1%
1-210.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.533.91
Average total10.45

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=58.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.8%
Over 9.555.2%
Over 10.543.1%
Over 11.537.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT47.6%28.3%–67.6% CI
Draw FT38.1%20.8%–59.1% CI
Away FT14.3%5.0%–34.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.48

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.2%
2+ goals42.9%
3+ goals23.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home71.4%
Away38.1%