Championship · 2019/20
2020-06-27 · 13:00
12.1144.9%
X3.3628.2%
23.5226.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Derby
DDLWWWWDDW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Reading
DDWWLDDWLW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.30
0.70
Conceded
0.80
40%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.00
1H goals
0.60
1.30
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
3.00N=10
5.90
Against
6.30
11.50
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.30
0.70
Goals conceded
0.80
2.30
Total goals
2.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Derby attack

1.60goals per match
Reading conceded0.80
Matchup

Reading attack

1.30goals per match
Derby conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.80
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
5.90
Corners against
6.30
11.50
Match total
9.30
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.60
Match total
3.40
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

10.90N=10
Committed
10.80N=10
23.90
Match total
24.50

Shots

12.40N=10
Shots
9.40N=10
5.00
On target
2.90
13%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches128
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.9%44.5%-0.4 pp
Draw28.2%24.2%-4.0 pp
Away26.9%31.3%+4.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.7%
Over 2.552.3%
Over 3.524.2%
BTTS57.0%

Historical average

1.421.26

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.6%
1-012.5%
2-111.7%
1-28.6%
0-26.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.774.13
Average total9.90

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=128.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.1%
Over 9.553.1%
Over 10.543.0%
Over 11.533.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches38
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.8%23.4%–52.7% CI
Draw FT31.6%19.1%–47.5% CI
Away FT31.6%19.1%–47.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.63

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal89.5%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals18.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home68.4%
Away55.3%