Championship · 2019/20
2020-06-27 · 12:30
11.7055.6%
X3.8124.8%
24.8419.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Swansea
LDWDWWLDWD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Luton
LLLLLLLWLD
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.50
0.90
Conceded
2.60
50%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.80
1.20
2H goals
1.30
50%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
4.10N=10
3.60
Against
7.50
9.50
Total
11.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.50
0.90
Goals conceded
2.60
2.20
Total goals
3.10
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Swansea attack

1.30goals per match
Luton conceded2.60
Matchup

Luton attack

0.50goals per match
Swansea conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.00
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.30
50%5/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
10%1/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
3.60
Corners against
7.50
9.50
Match total
11.60
60%6/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.80N=10
For
2.00N=10
2.70
Match total
2.60
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

11.30N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
25.40
Match total
24.20

Shots

12.80N=10
Shots
6.90N=10
4.30
On target
1.60
10%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches80
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home55.6%56.3%+0.6 pp
Draw24.8%20.0%-4.8 pp
Away19.5%23.8%+4.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.3%
Over 2.551.2%
Over 3.522.5%
BTTS51.2%

Historical average

1.650.90

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-116.3%
1-012.5%
2-011.3%
0-110.0%
1-18.8%

Comparable corner averages

6.444.28
Average total10.71

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=80.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.8%
Over 9.558.8%
Over 10.548.8%
Over 11.538.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches25
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT48.0%30.0%–66.5% CI
Draw FT28.0%14.3%–47.6% CI
Away FT24.0%11.5%–43.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.36

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals32.0%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.0%
Away44.0%