Championship · 2019/20
2020-06-27 · 12:30
11.7055.6%
X3.8124.8%
24.8419.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Swansea
LDWDWWLDWD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Luton
LLLLLLLWLD
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
0.50
0.90
Conceded
2.60
50%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.80
1.20
2H goals
1.30
50%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.90N=10
For
4.10N=10
3.60
Against
7.50
9.50
Total
11.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.50
0.90
Goals conceded
2.60
2.20
Total goals
3.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Swansea attack
1.30goals per matchLuton conceded2.60Matchup
Luton attack
0.50goals per matchSwansea conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.00
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
3.60
Corners against
7.50
9.50
Match total
11.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
0.80N=10
For
2.00N=10
2.70
Match total
2.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.30N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
25.40
Match total
24.20
Shots
12.80N=10
Shots
6.90N=10
4.30
On target
1.60
10%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches80
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home55.6%56.3%+0.6 pp
Draw24.8%20.0%-4.8 pp
Away19.5%23.8%+4.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.3%
Over 2.551.2%
Over 3.522.5%
BTTS51.2%
Historical average
1.65–0.90
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-116.3%
1-012.5%
2-011.3%
0-110.0%
1-18.8%
Comparable corner averages
6.44–4.28
Average total10.71
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=80.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.568.8%
Over 9.558.8%
Over 10.548.8%
Over 11.538.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches25
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT48.0%30.0%–66.5% CI
Draw FT28.0%14.3%–47.6% CI
Away FT24.0%11.5%–43.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.36
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals32.0%
3+ goals20.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home60.0%
Away44.0%