Championship · 2019/20
2020-06-21 · 12:00
15.2618.0%
X3.8524.6%
21.6557.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Cardiff
WWDDDWDDLD
3W 6D 1L · 1.50 PPM
Leeds
WWLWDLLDWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.60
1.00
Conceded
1.10
40%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.10
1.10
2H goals
1.60
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
8.70N=10
6.00
Against
5.10
10.40
Total
13.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.60
1.00
Goals conceded
1.10
2.20
Total goals
2.70
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Cardiff attack

1.20goals per match
Leeds conceded1.10
Matchup

Leeds attack

1.60goals per match
Cardiff conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.70
2H goals scored
1.10
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
8.70N=10
6.00
Corners against
5.10
10.40
Match total
13.80
70%7/10
Over 8.5
100%10/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
100%10/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.70
Match total
4.60
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.90N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
25.20
Match total
25.10

Shots

12.00N=10
Shots
13.80N=10
3.80
On target
4.60
10%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches21
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home18.0%23.8%+5.8 pp
Draw24.6%23.8%-0.8 pp
Away57.4%52.4%-5.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.585.7%
Over 2.542.9%
Over 3.523.8%
BTTS52.4%

Historical average

1.051.52

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-119.0%
0-219.0%
1-29.5%
1-44.8%
2-04.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.005.67
Average total9.67

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=21.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.571.4%
Over 9.557.1%
Over 10.542.9%
Over 11.528.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Draw FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI
Away FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.45

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.9%
2+ goals45.5%
3+ goals9.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.5%
Away63.6%