Championship · 2019/20
2020-06-20 · 15:00
13.0331.2%
X3.1829.7%
22.4239.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Reading
LLWWDLDLLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Stoke
LLLLWWLLDD
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.10
1.20
Conceded
1.70
40%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.20
1.60
2H goals
1.60
100%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

6.60N=10
For
4.00N=10
6.00
Against
4.70
12.60
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.10
1.20
Goals conceded
1.70
2.30
Total goals
2.80
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Reading attack

1.10goals per match
Stoke conceded1.70
Matchup

Stoke attack

1.10goals per match
Reading conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.10
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
80%8/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
6.00
Corners against
4.70
12.60
Match total
8.70
80%8/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.00
Match total
4.00
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.30N=10
Committed
13.50N=10
24.70
Match total
25.10

Shots

12.90N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
3.90
On target
3.30
9%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches55
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.2%32.7%+1.5 pp
Draw29.7%27.3%-2.5 pp
Away39.1%40.0%+0.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.558.2%
Over 2.536.4%
Over 3.518.2%
BTTS34.5%

Historical average

0.961.15

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-118.2%
1-012.7%
0-010.9%
0-210.9%
1-17.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.965.38
Average total10.35

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=55.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.0%
Over 9.547.3%
Over 10.541.8%
Over 11.536.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT42.1%23.1%–63.7% CI
Draw FT31.6%15.4%–54.0% CI
Away FT26.3%11.8%–48.8% CI

Remaining goals

0.95

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.4%
2+ goals15.8%
3+ goals10.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home42.1%
Away31.6%