Championship · 2019/20
2020-06-20 · 15:00
13.3228.5%
X3.3228.5%
22.2043.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Luton
WWLDLWLWWD
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Preston
LLDDDWWWLL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
0.90
1.30
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
30%
70%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.10
1.70
2H goals
1.10
90%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
3.70N=10
6.30
Against
6.40
11.60
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.90
1.30
Goals conceded
1.30
2.80
Total goals
2.20
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Luton attack

1.50goals per match
Preston conceded1.30
Matchup

Preston attack

0.90goals per match
Luton conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.30
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
6.30
Corners against
6.40
11.60
Match total
10.10
90%9/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
90%9/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
1.50N=10
2.90
Match total
2.90
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

9.50N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
23.30
Match total
24.10

Shots

11.40N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
3.20
On target
2.60
13%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches59
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.5%27.1%-1.4 pp
Draw28.5%30.5%+2.0 pp
Away43.0%42.4%-0.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.8%
Over 2.545.8%
Over 3.523.7%
BTTS49.2%

Historical average

1.001.46

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-013.6%
1-113.6%
0-110.2%
1-28.5%
1-08.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.125.19
Average total9.31

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=59.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.554.2%
Over 9.545.8%
Over 10.539.0%
Over 11.528.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT26.3%11.8%–48.8% CI
Draw FT52.6%31.7%–72.7% CI
Away FT21.1%8.5%–43.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.16

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal57.9%
2+ goals36.8%
3+ goals15.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home36.8%
Away42.1%