Championship · 2019/20
2020-03-08 · 15:00
12.3839.8%
X3.1929.7%
23.1030.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Derby
WDDLWWWWDD
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Blackburn
LWDWLLWDWD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.90
0.70
Conceded
1.20
30%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.80
1.20
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
3.50N=10
5.60
Against
5.80
11.50
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.90
0.70
Goals conceded
1.20
2.10
Total goals
3.10
70%7/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Derby attack

1.40goals per match
Blackburn conceded1.20
Matchup

Blackburn attack

1.90goals per match
Derby conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
1.20
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.70
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
5.60
Corners against
5.80
11.50
Match total
9.30
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.20N=10
3.30
Match total
1.90
40%4/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10

Fouls

11.20N=10
Committed
11.10N=10
23.70
Match total
24.10

Shots

12.10N=10
Shots
9.40N=10
4.30
On target
4.10
12%
Conversion
20%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches137
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.8%38.7%-1.1 pp
Draw29.7%37.2%+7.5 pp
Away30.5%24.1%-6.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.3%
Over 2.543.8%
Over 3.529.2%
BTTS57.7%

Historical average

1.421.18

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-119.7%
1-011.7%
0-09.5%
2-18.0%
0-16.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.355.09
Average total10.45

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=137.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.6%
Over 9.561.3%
Over 10.547.4%
Over 11.538.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches45
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT22.2%12.5%–36.3% CI
Draw FT53.3%39.1%–67.1% CI
Away FT24.4%14.2%–38.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.29

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.1%
2+ goals44.4%
3+ goals11.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home48.9%
Away53.3%