Championship · 2019/20
2020-03-07 · 15:00
11.7354.9%
X3.7425.4%
24.8419.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Wigan
LLDDDLWLDW
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Luton
LLLLLLLLWL
1W 0D 9L · 0.30 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
0.50
1.60
Conceded
2.90
50%
Over 2.5
80%
70%
BTTS
40%
By half
0.60
1H goals
2.00
2.00
2H goals
1.40
100%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.40N=10
For
4.10N=10
4.00
Against
7.40
9.40
Total
11.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.50
1.60
Goals conceded
2.90
2.60
Total goals
3.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Wigan attack
1.00goals per matchLuton conceded2.90Matchup
Luton attack
0.50goals per matchWigan conceded1.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.00
1.30
2H goals conceded
1.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
4.00
Corners against
7.40
9.40
Match total
11.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.40N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.40
Match total
2.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.60N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
27.20
Match total
24.30
Shots
11.40N=10
Shots
7.00N=10
4.10
On target
1.60
9%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches71
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.9%54.9%-0.0 pp
Draw25.4%26.8%+1.3 pp
Away19.6%18.3%-1.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.569.0%
Over 2.546.5%
Over 3.521.1%
BTTS54.9%
Historical average
1.58–0.86
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-115.5%
1-114.1%
1-012.7%
0-19.9%
0-08.5%
Comparable corner averages
6.52–3.75
Average total10.27
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=71.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.0%
Over 9.552.1%
Over 10.545.1%
Over 11.536.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches28
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT46.4%29.5%–64.2% CI
Draw FT39.3%23.6%–57.6% CI
Away FT14.3%5.7%–31.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.29
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal78.6%
2+ goals39.3%
3+ goals10.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home67.9%
Away35.7%