Championship · 2019/20
2020-03-07 · 15:00
11.5860.0%
X3.9024.3%
26.0715.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Stoke
WLWDWDWWLW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Hull
DLLDWWLDLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.00
0.80
Conceded
1.70
50%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.80
1H goals
0.70
1.60
2H goals
2.00
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
4.90N=10
4.60
Against
4.30
9.70
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.00
0.80
Goals conceded
1.70
2.40
Total goals
2.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Stoke attack

1.60goals per match
Hull conceded1.70
Matchup

Hull attack

1.00goals per match
Stoke conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.20
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.80
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
80%8/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
4.60
Corners against
4.30
9.70
Match total
9.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.00N=10
For
1.60N=10
3.00
Match total
3.00
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

11.90N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
24.40
Match total
22.70

Shots

13.70N=10
Shots
9.80N=10
4.70
On target
2.90
12%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches39
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home60.0%64.1%+4.1 pp
Draw24.3%15.4%-8.9 pp
Away15.6%20.5%+4.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.553.8%
Over 3.543.6%
BTTS53.8%

Historical average

2.000.97

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-115.4%
1-010.3%
3-110.3%
2-010.3%
2-17.7%

Comparable corner averages

6.563.64
Average total10.21

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=39.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.564.1%
Over 10.553.8%
Over 11.541.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.7%19.3%–68.0% CI
Draw FT8.3%1.5%–35.4% CI
Away FT50.0%25.4%–74.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.25

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals25.0%
3+ goals0.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away58.3%