Championship · 2019/20
2020-03-06 · 19:45
12.2841.7%
X3.1030.6%
23.4327.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nott'm Forest
LDLWWWDWLD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Millwall
WDWWDDLDWL
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
0.90
1.10
Conceded
0.70
30%
Over 2.5
20%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.40
1.00
2H goals
1.20
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.70N=10
For
4.20N=10
4.50
Against
5.50
11.20
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.90
1.10
Goals conceded
0.70
2.20
Total goals
1.60
60%6/10
Over 1.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Nott'm Forest attack

1.10goals per match
Millwall conceded0.70
Matchup

Millwall attack

0.90goals per match
Nott'm Forest conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.40
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.00
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
30%3/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
4.50
Corners against
5.50
11.20
Match total
9.70
90%9/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
1.20N=10
3.30
Match total
2.50
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

11.50N=10
Committed
11.00N=10
25.90
Match total
22.40

Shots

14.90N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
3.40
On target
3.50
7%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches120
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.7%40.8%-0.8 pp
Draw30.6%39.2%+8.5 pp
Away27.7%20.0%-7.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.5%
Over 2.535.0%
Over 3.515.0%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

1.270.89

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-120.8%
0-013.3%
1-012.5%
2-010.0%
2-18.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.103.99
Average total9.09

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=120.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.554.2%
Over 9.540.0%
Over 10.530.8%
Over 11.522.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches52
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT34.6%23.2%–48.2% CI
Draw FT48.1%35.1%–61.3% CI
Away FT17.3%9.4%–29.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.40

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.2%
2+ goals40.4%
3+ goals23.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.8%
Away42.3%