Championship · 2019/20
2020-03-02 · 19:45
12.5936.5%
X3.1729.8%
22.8033.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Middlesbrough
DWWWWDDDLL
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Nott'm Forest
DWDLWDWLDW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.50
0.90
Conceded
0.90
30%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.80
1H goals
0.90
1.20
2H goals
1.50
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
5.00N=10
4.70
Against
6.90
10.00
Total
11.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.50
0.90
Goals conceded
0.90
2.00
Total goals
2.40
50%5/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Middlesbrough attack

1.10goals per match
Nott'm Forest conceded0.90
Matchup

Nott'm Forest attack

1.50goals per match
Middlesbrough conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
1.00
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
4.70
Corners against
6.90
10.00
Match total
11.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.70
Match total
3.80
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

11.70N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
24.90
Match total
23.30

Shots

13.60N=10
Shots
11.90N=10
3.50
On target
3.80
8%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches128
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.5%24.2%-12.3 pp
Draw29.8%43.8%+14.0 pp
Away33.7%32.0%-1.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.2%
Over 2.539.1%
Over 3.526.6%
BTTS53.9%

Historical average

1.131.24

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-118.0%
0-114.1%
0-012.5%
2-210.9%
2-17.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.104.54
Average total9.64

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=128.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.7%
Over 9.549.2%
Over 10.535.2%
Over 11.525.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches45
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT17.8%9.3%–31.3% CI
Draw FT53.3%39.1%–67.1% CI
Away FT28.9%17.7%–43.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.07

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal64.4%
2+ goals28.9%
3+ goals8.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home37.8%
Away51.1%