Championship · 2019/20
2020-02-29 · 15:00
12.3240.8%
X3.3428.3%
23.0630.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Reading
WLLWWDLDLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Barnsley
LLLWDLLLWW
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.20
1.20
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.80
1H goals
0.90
1.60
2H goals
1.60
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.90N=10
For
4.60N=10
5.90
Against
6.70
12.80
Total
11.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.20
1.20
Goals conceded
1.30
2.40
Total goals
2.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Reading attack

1.20goals per match
Barnsley conceded1.30
Matchup

Barnsley attack

1.20goals per match
Reading conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.80
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
80%8/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.90N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
5.90
Corners against
6.70
12.80
Match total
11.30
80%8/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
90%9/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.70
Match total
3.50
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

11.40N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
24.60
Match total
24.20

Shots

13.90N=10
Shots
15.10N=10
4.20
On target
4.10
9%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches92
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.8%40.2%-0.6 pp
Draw28.3%29.3%+1.0 pp
Away30.9%30.4%-0.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.554.3%
Over 3.527.2%
BTTS55.4%

Historical average

1.371.25

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.0%
2-113.0%
0-010.9%
1-29.8%
1-07.6%

Comparable corner averages

6.084.53
Average total10.61

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=92.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.572.8%
Over 9.559.8%
Over 10.548.9%
Over 11.540.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches25
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT24.0%11.5%–43.4% CI
Draw FT52.0%33.5%–70.0% CI
Away FT24.0%11.5%–43.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal60.0%
2+ goals32.0%
3+ goals8.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home36.0%
Away44.0%