Championship · 2019/20
2020-02-29 · 15:00
12.3240.8%
X3.3428.3%
23.0630.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Reading
WLLWWDLDLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Barnsley
LLLWDLLLWW
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
1.20
1.20
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.80
1H goals
0.90
1.60
2H goals
1.60
100%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
6.90N=10
For
4.60N=10
5.90
Against
6.70
12.80
Total
11.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.20
1.20
Goals conceded
1.30
2.40
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Reading attack
1.20goals per matchBarnsley conceded1.30Matchup
Barnsley attack
1.20goals per matchReading conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.90N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
5.90
Corners against
6.70
12.80
Match total
11.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.60N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.70
Match total
3.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.40N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
24.60
Match total
24.20
Shots
13.90N=10
Shots
15.10N=10
4.20
On target
4.10
9%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches92
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.8%40.2%-0.6 pp
Draw28.3%29.3%+1.0 pp
Away30.9%30.4%-0.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.554.3%
Over 3.527.2%
BTTS55.4%
Historical average
1.37–1.25
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.0%
2-113.0%
0-010.9%
1-29.8%
1-07.6%
Comparable corner averages
6.08–4.53
Average total10.61
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=92.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.572.8%
Over 9.559.8%
Over 10.548.9%
Over 11.540.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches25
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT24.0%11.5%–43.4% CI
Draw FT52.0%33.5%–70.0% CI
Away FT24.0%11.5%–43.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.00
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal60.0%
2+ goals32.0%
3+ goals8.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home36.0%
Away44.0%