Championship · 2019/20
2020-02-29 · 15:00
12.2043.0%
X3.4527.5%
23.2129.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

QPR
DLWDLWWLWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Birmingham
DDWLDWDWWD
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
1.30
1.50
Conceded
1.10
70%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.90
1H goals
0.80
1.60
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
3.70N=10
6.20
Against
7.20
12.30
Total
10.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.30
1.50
Goals conceded
1.10
3.50
Total goals
2.40
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

QPR attack

2.00goals per match
Birmingham conceded1.10
Matchup

Birmingham attack

1.30goals per match
QPR conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.30
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.80
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
6.20
Corners against
7.20
12.30
Match total
10.90
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
1.50N=10
4.20
Match total
2.60
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

12.80N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
24.60
Match total
22.60

Shots

13.90N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
5.50
On target
3.00
14%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches84
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.0%48.8%+5.8 pp
Draw27.5%28.6%+1.1 pp
Away29.5%22.6%-6.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.6%
Over 2.540.5%
Over 3.521.4%
BTTS48.8%

Historical average

1.371.05

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-016.7%
1-115.5%
2-011.9%
2-111.9%
0-07.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.684.76
Average total10.44

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=84.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.0%
Over 9.557.1%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.542.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches25
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT48.0%30.0%–66.5% CI
Draw FT40.0%23.4%–59.3% CI
Away FT12.0%4.2%–30.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.36

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.0%
2+ goals44.0%
3+ goals12.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home64.0%
Away36.0%