Championship · 2019/20
2020-02-29 · 15:00
11.9648.4%
X3.3128.6%
24.1223.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Millwall
WDDLWWWLDD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Bristol City
WLWLLWWWLL
5W 0D 5L · 1.50 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
1.10
1.10
Conceded
1.20
50%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.00
1H goals
0.70
1.50
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
7.40N=10
For
3.50N=10
3.40
Against
7.20
10.80
Total
10.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.10
1.10
Goals conceded
1.20
2.50
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Millwall attack
1.40goals per matchBristol City conceded1.20Matchup
Bristol City attack
1.10goals per matchMillwall conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.90
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.40N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
3.40
Corners against
7.20
10.80
Match total
10.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.40N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.00
Match total
3.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.90N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
22.00
Match total
23.20
Shots
12.70N=10
Shots
8.10N=10
4.10
On target
2.60
11%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches122
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.4%50.8%+2.5 pp
Draw28.6%23.8%-4.9 pp
Away23.0%25.4%+2.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.549.2%
Over 3.522.1%
BTTS57.4%
Historical average
1.54–1.03
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.9%
1-013.9%
2-112.3%
1-29.8%
2-07.4%
Comparable corner averages
6.21–4.15
Average total10.36
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=122.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.8%
Over 9.555.7%
Over 10.546.7%
Over 11.536.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches34
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT44.1%28.9%–60.5% CI
Draw FT32.4%19.1%–49.2% CI
Away FT23.5%12.4%–40.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.32
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal73.5%
2+ goals35.3%
3+ goals20.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home58.8%
Away38.2%