Championship · 2019/20
2020-02-29 · 15:00
13.2728.9%
X3.3028.7%
22.2342.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Luton
LWWLDLWLWW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Stoke
WLLLLWWLLD
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.40
1.40
Conceded
1.80
70%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.30
1.90
2H goals
1.90
90%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
4.10N=10
6.50
Against
4.80
11.80
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.40
1.40
Goals conceded
1.80
2.90
Total goals
3.20
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Luton attack

1.50goals per match
Stoke conceded1.80
Matchup

Stoke attack

1.40goals per match
Luton conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.70
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.70
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
6.50
Corners against
4.80
11.80
Match total
8.90
90%9/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
90%9/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
2.00N=10
2.80
Match total
4.20
40%4/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

9.10N=10
Committed
13.30N=10
23.10
Match total
25.20

Shots

11.60N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
3.40
On target
3.80
13%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches65
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.9%27.7%-1.2 pp
Draw28.7%27.7%-1.0 pp
Away42.4%44.6%+2.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.547.7%
Over 3.527.7%
BTTS49.2%

Historical average

1.081.57

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-212.3%
1-112.3%
0-110.8%
0-09.2%
1-27.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.495.15
Average total9.65

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=65.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.5%
Over 9.547.7%
Over 10.538.5%
Over 11.530.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches22
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.4%19.7%–57.0% CI
Draw FT31.8%16.4%–52.7% CI
Away FT31.8%16.4%–52.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.64

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.7%
2+ goals54.5%
3+ goals31.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.5%
Away54.5%