Championship · 2019/20
2020-02-29 · 15:00
13.5426.7%
X3.3328.4%
22.1144.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Cardiff
LWWDDDWDDL
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Brentford
WLLDLWDWDL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
1.60
0.90
Conceded
0.90
30%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.70
1H goals
1.50
1.20
2H goals
1.00
70%
Goal in 2H
50%
Corners
4.90N=10
For
5.80N=10
5.50
Against
3.50
10.40
Total
9.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.60
0.90
Goals conceded
0.90
1.90
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Cardiff attack
1.00goals per matchBrentford conceded0.90Matchup
Brentford attack
1.60goals per matchCardiff conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.80
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
5.80N=10
5.50
Corners against
3.50
10.40
Match total
9.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.60N=10
For
1.30N=10
3.50
Match total
2.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.00N=10
Committed
9.70N=10
26.00
Match total
20.70
Shots
12.50N=10
Shots
12.90N=10
3.50
On target
4.90
8%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches39
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home26.7%33.3%+6.6 pp
Draw28.4%17.9%-10.5 pp
Away44.8%48.7%+3.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.8%
Over 2.561.5%
Over 3.520.5%
BTTS46.2%
Historical average
1.13–1.41
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-215.4%
0-012.8%
2-110.3%
0-17.7%
0-37.7%
Comparable corner averages
5.15–5.51
Average total10.67
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=39.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.561.5%
Over 10.556.4%
Over 11.543.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%28.0%–72.0% CI
Draw FT31.3%14.2%–55.6% CI
Away FT18.8%6.6%–43.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.56
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal68.8%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals31.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.0%
Away37.5%