Championship · 2019/20
2020-02-26 · 19:45
12.1843.4%
X3.1430.2%
23.5926.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Millwall
WWDDLWWWLD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Birmingham
LDDWLDWDWW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.50
1.10
Conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.10
1.60
2H goals
1.90
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

6.60N=10
For
4.50N=10
3.40
Against
6.60
10.00
Total
11.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.50
1.10
Goals conceded
1.50
2.70
Total goals
3.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Millwall attack

1.60goals per match
Birmingham conceded1.50
Matchup

Birmingham attack

1.50goals per match
Millwall conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.90
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
3.40
Corners against
6.60
10.00
Match total
11.10
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.00
Match total
2.90
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.20N=10
Committed
13.40N=10
22.80
Match total
23.60

Shots

12.30N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
4.20
On target
3.60
13%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches116
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.4%40.5%-2.9 pp
Draw30.2%35.3%+5.2 pp
Away26.4%24.1%-2.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.7%
Over 2.537.9%
Over 3.515.5%
BTTS45.7%

Historical average

1.210.93

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-014.7%
1-114.7%
1-011.2%
2-110.3%
0-19.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.534.28
Average total9.81

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=116.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.3%
Over 9.549.1%
Over 10.536.2%
Over 11.528.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches50
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT34.0%22.4%–47.8% CI
Draw FT44.0%31.2%–57.7% CI
Away FT22.0%12.8%–35.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.10

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.0%
2+ goals32.0%
3+ goals12.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home48.0%
Away38.0%