Championship · 2019/20
2020-02-26 · 19:45
15.5317.1%
X3.9024.3%
21.6258.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Middlesbrough
DDWWWWDDDL
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM
Leeds
DWWWLWDLLD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
1.30
0.80
Conceded
1.20
30%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.70
1H goals
0.90
1.20
2H goals
1.60
60%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.50N=10
For
8.20N=10
4.30
Against
5.20
9.80
Total
13.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.30
0.80
Goals conceded
1.20
1.90
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Middlesbrough attack
1.10goals per matchLeeds conceded1.20Matchup
Leeds attack
1.30goals per matchMiddlesbrough conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
1.00
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
8.20N=10
4.30
Corners against
5.20
9.80
Match total
13.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.60N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.90
Match total
4.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.90N=10
Committed
11.90N=10
24.90
Match total
24.30
Shots
13.60N=10
Shots
13.90N=10
3.40
On target
4.50
8%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches10
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home17.1%10.0%-7.1 pp
Draw24.3%30.0%+5.7 pp
Away58.5%60.0%+1.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.590.0%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.510.0%
BTTS70.0%
Historical average
1.10–1.90
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-130.0%
1-220.0%
0-210.0%
0-310.0%
4-510.0%
Comparable corner averages
4.60–5.40
Average total10.00
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=10.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.570.0%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.530.0%
Over 11.530.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.4%7.6%–47.6% CI
Draw FT14.3%4.0%–39.9% CI
Away FT64.3%38.8%–83.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.36
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal92.9%
2+ goals35.7%
3+ goals7.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home28.6%
Away78.6%