Championship · 2019/20
2020-02-25 · 19:45
12.1743.7%
X3.5326.9%
23.2229.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

QPR
LDLWDLWWLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Derby
LLLLLDDLWL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.00
1.70
Conceded
2.10
70%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.80
1H goals
0.70
1.80
2H goals
2.40
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
3.60N=10
5.90
Against
7.00
11.90
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.00
1.70
Goals conceded
2.10
3.60
Total goals
3.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

QPR attack

1.90goals per match
Derby conceded2.10
Matchup

Derby attack

1.00goals per match
QPR conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.10
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.60
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.90
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
90%9/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
5.90
Corners against
7.00
11.90
Match total
10.60
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.10
Match total
4.30
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.70N=10
Committed
14.70N=10
25.10
Match total
24.60

Shots

13.20N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
5.50
On target
3.50
14%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches50
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.7%48.0%+4.3 pp
Draw26.9%26.0%-0.9 pp
Away29.4%26.0%-3.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.0%
Over 2.552.0%
Over 3.534.0%
BTTS52.0%

Historical average

1.561.18

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-016.0%
2-112.0%
2-210.0%
0-28.0%
1-18.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.325.00
Average total10.32

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=50.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.0%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.546.0%
Over 11.542.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%29.0%–71.0% CI
Draw FT33.3%16.3%–56.3% CI
Away FT16.7%5.8%–39.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.78

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals27.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home66.7%
Away38.9%