Championship · 2019/20
2020-02-22 · 15:00
12.0047.4%
X3.3728.2%
23.8924.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Stoke
LWLWDWDWWL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Cardiff
LDWLDWLDWW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.50
1.00
Conceded
1.60
50%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.60
1.60
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
4.90N=10
4.20
Against
7.20
9.30
Total
12.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.50
1.00
Goals conceded
1.60
2.40
Total goals
3.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Stoke attack

1.40goals per match
Cardiff conceded1.60
Matchup

Cardiff attack

1.50goals per match
Stoke conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.10
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.00
2H goals scored
1.00
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
4.20
Corners against
7.20
9.30
Match total
12.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.10N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.10
Match total
2.60
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

12.70N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
26.30
Match total
23.20

Shots

13.50N=10
Shots
11.40N=10
4.50
On target
3.60
10%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches107
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.4%50.5%+3.0 pp
Draw28.2%25.2%-2.9 pp
Away24.4%24.3%-0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.565.4%
Over 2.543.0%
Over 3.521.5%
BTTS50.5%

Historical average

1.450.96

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-015.0%
1-114.0%
0-112.1%
2-111.2%
0-07.5%

Comparable corner averages

6.194.32
Average total10.50

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=107.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.4%
Over 9.554.2%
Over 10.546.7%
Over 11.539.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches34
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.2%26.4%–57.8% CI
Draw FT29.4%16.8%–46.2% CI
Away FT29.4%16.8%–46.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.09

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.5%
2+ goals26.5%
3+ goals5.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away38.2%