Championship · 2019/20
2020-02-22 · 15:00
12.2342.5%
X3.3028.7%
23.2828.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Charlton
LDLLDWDDWL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Luton
LLLLLLLLLW
1W 0D 9L · 0.30 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.50
1.60
Conceded
2.80
60%
Over 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.90
1.60
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.10N=10
For
4.10N=10
6.60
Against
8.10
10.70
Total
12.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.50
1.60
Goals conceded
2.80
2.80
Total goals
3.30
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Charlton attack

1.20goals per match
Luton conceded2.80
Matchup

Luton attack

0.50goals per match
Charlton conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.10
1.20
2H goals conceded
1.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
6.60
Corners against
8.10
10.70
Match total
12.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.70
Match total
2.50
80%8/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

11.20N=10
Committed
13.10N=10
24.50
Match total
24.30

Shots

8.40N=10
Shots
7.00N=10
2.90
On target
1.80
14%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches73
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.5%42.5%+0.0 pp
Draw28.7%24.7%-4.0 pp
Away28.9%32.9%+4.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.5%
Over 2.545.2%
Over 3.526.0%
BTTS45.2%

Historical average

1.361.16

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-011.0%
1-011.0%
2-09.6%
0-19.6%
1-19.6%

Comparable corner averages

6.674.30
Average total10.97

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=73.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.576.7%
Over 9.565.8%
Over 10.554.8%
Over 11.545.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches22
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.4%19.7%–57.0% CI
Draw FT40.9%23.3%–61.3% CI
Away FT22.7%10.1%–43.4% CI

Remaining goals

0.95

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal63.6%
2+ goals22.7%
3+ goals9.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home40.9%
Away31.8%