Championship · 2019/20
2020-02-21 · 19:45
12.9032.8%
X3.3028.8%
22.4738.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Derby
WWDDLWWWWD
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Fulham
DWWLLDWDWD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.00
0.60
Conceded
0.80
30%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.00
1.10
2H goals
0.80
70%
Goal in 2H
50%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
4.20N=10
5.40
Against
5.40
10.80
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.00
0.60
Goals conceded
0.80
2.10
Total goals
1.80
70%7/10
Over 1.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Derby attack

1.50goals per match
Fulham conceded0.80
Matchup

Fulham attack

1.00goals per match
Derby conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.50
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
50%5/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
5.40
Corners against
5.40
10.80
Match total
9.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.50N=10
3.30
Match total
2.90
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

11.00N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
23.70
Match total
22.40

Shots

13.00N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
4.60
On target
3.40
12%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches37
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.8%37.8%+5.1 pp
Draw28.8%21.6%-7.2 pp
Away38.5%40.5%+2.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.0%
Over 2.551.4%
Over 3.524.3%
BTTS59.5%

Historical average

1.271.38

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-113.5%
1-113.5%
2-113.5%
1-210.8%
1-010.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.244.46
Average total9.70

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=37.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.2%
Over 9.548.6%
Over 10.545.9%
Over 11.537.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.7%19.3%–68.0% CI
Draw FT8.3%1.5%–35.4% CI
Away FT50.0%25.4%–74.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.50

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal91.7%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals16.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home41.7%
Away66.7%