Championship · 2019/20
2020-02-15 · 15:00
12.7035.1%
X3.2429.2%
22.6535.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

QPR
DLDLWDLWWL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Stoke
LLWLLLLWWL
3W 0D 7L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.20
1.70
Conceded
1.70
70%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.10
1.80
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
3.80N=10
5.90
Against
4.70
11.20
Total
8.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.20
1.70
Goals conceded
1.70
3.40
Total goals
2.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

QPR attack

1.70goals per match
Stoke conceded1.70
Matchup

Stoke attack

1.20goals per match
QPR conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.70
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
5.90
Corners against
4.70
11.20
Match total
8.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.90
Match total
3.60
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.60N=10
Committed
13.50N=10
26.10
Match total
26.00

Shots

13.20N=10
Shots
9.40N=10
5.20
On target
3.40
13%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches86
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.1%38.4%+3.3 pp
Draw29.2%24.4%-4.8 pp
Away35.7%37.2%+1.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.9%
Over 2.551.2%
Over 3.527.9%
BTTS52.3%

Historical average

1.281.31

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-012.8%
1-110.5%
2-110.5%
0-18.1%
0-08.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.655.12
Average total10.77

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=86.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.575.6%
Over 9.562.8%
Over 10.553.5%
Over 11.543.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches26
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT34.6%19.4%–53.8% CI
Draw FT34.6%19.4%–53.8% CI
Away FT30.8%16.5%–50.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.23

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.1%
2+ goals34.6%
3+ goals15.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home46.2%
Away50.0%