Championship · 2019/20
2020-02-15 · 15:00
12.1444.3%
X3.1630.0%
23.6825.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Preston
DWWLWWLLWD
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Millwall
LLWDWWDDLD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.10
1.30
Conceded
1.10
50%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.40
1H goals
0.70
1.30
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
3.90N=10
4.70
Against
5.90
10.50
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.10
1.30
Goals conceded
1.10
2.70
Total goals
2.20
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Preston attack

1.40goals per match
Millwall conceded1.10
Matchup

Millwall attack

1.10goals per match
Preston conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
4.70
Corners against
5.90
10.50
Match total
9.80
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.10N=10
For
1.50N=10
2.50
Match total
2.80
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

10.20N=10
Committed
11.10N=10
22.70
Match total
23.40

Shots

13.60N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
4.30
On target
3.40
10%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches99
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.3%39.4%-4.9 pp
Draw30.0%37.4%+7.4 pp
Away25.7%23.2%-2.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.6%
Over 2.534.3%
Over 3.514.1%
BTTS45.5%

Historical average

1.170.93

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.2%
0-015.2%
1-012.1%
2-19.1%
2-09.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.564.23
Average total9.79

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=99.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.6%
Over 9.549.5%
Over 10.536.4%
Over 11.527.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches43
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT32.6%20.5%–47.5% CI
Draw FT46.5%32.5%–61.1% CI
Away FT20.9%11.4%–35.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.07

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal65.1%
2+ goals32.6%
3+ goals9.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home46.5%
Away39.5%