Championship · 2019/20
2020-02-15 · 15:00
11.6158.7%
X4.0023.6%
25.3717.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Middlesbrough
LDDWWWWDDD
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM
Luton
LLLLLLLLLL
0W 0D 10L · 0.00 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
0.60
0.80
Conceded
3.10
30%
Over 2.5
90%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.60
1H goals
1.90
1.30
2H goals
1.80
70%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
3.50N=10
4.10
Against
7.70
9.40
Total
11.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.60
0.80
Goals conceded
3.10
1.90
Total goals
3.70
50%5/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
90%9/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Middlesbrough attack

1.10goals per match
Luton conceded3.10
Matchup

Luton attack

0.60goals per match
Middlesbrough conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.10
1H goals conceded
1.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.30
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
4.10
Corners against
7.70
9.40
Match total
11.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.70N=10
4.00
Match total
2.10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

12.00N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
25.00
Match total
24.00

Shots

14.60N=10
Shots
7.30N=10
4.10
On target
2.00
8%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches31
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home58.7%61.3%+2.5 pp
Draw23.6%25.8%+2.2 pp
Away17.6%12.9%-4.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.9%
Over 2.558.1%
Over 3.535.5%
BTTS58.1%

Historical average

1.970.97

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-116.1%
1-112.9%
2-012.9%
3-19.7%
1-09.7%

Comparable corner averages

7.003.90
Average total10.90

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=31.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.587.1%
Over 9.574.2%
Over 10.564.5%
Over 11.545.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT61.5%35.5%–82.3% CI
Draw FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI
Away FT15.4%4.3%–42.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.38

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.6%
2+ goals38.5%
3+ goals15.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home69.2%
Away30.8%