Championship · 2019/20
2020-02-15 · 15:00
11.6158.7%
X4.0023.6%
25.3717.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Middlesbrough
LDDWWWWDDD
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM
Luton
LLLLLLLLLL
0W 0D 10L · 0.00 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
0.60
0.80
Conceded
3.10
30%
Over 2.5
90%
50%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.60
1H goals
1.90
1.30
2H goals
1.80
70%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
5.30N=10
For
3.50N=10
4.10
Against
7.70
9.40
Total
11.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.60
0.80
Goals conceded
3.10
1.90
Total goals
3.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Middlesbrough attack
1.10goals per matchLuton conceded3.10Matchup
Luton attack
0.60goals per matchMiddlesbrough conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.10
1H goals conceded
1.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.30
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
4.10
Corners against
7.70
9.40
Match total
11.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
1.70N=10
4.00
Match total
2.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.00N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
25.00
Match total
24.00
Shots
14.60N=10
Shots
7.30N=10
4.10
On target
2.00
8%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches31
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home58.7%61.3%+2.5 pp
Draw23.6%25.8%+2.2 pp
Away17.6%12.9%-4.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.583.9%
Over 2.558.1%
Over 3.535.5%
BTTS58.1%
Historical average
1.97–0.97
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-116.1%
1-112.9%
2-012.9%
3-19.7%
1-09.7%
Comparable corner averages
7.00–3.90
Average total10.90
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=31.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.587.1%
Over 9.574.2%
Over 10.564.5%
Over 11.545.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT61.5%35.5%–82.3% CI
Draw FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI
Away FT15.4%4.3%–42.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.38
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal84.6%
2+ goals38.5%
3+ goals15.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home69.2%
Away30.8%