Championship · 2019/20
2020-02-12 · 20:00
12.1144.9%
X3.2229.4%
23.7025.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Stoke
WLWLWDWDWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Preston
LWLLLDDDWW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
0.80
0.80
Conceded
1.10
50%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.00
1.50
2H goals
0.90
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
4.60N=10
4.40
Against
6.10
9.20
Total
10.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.80
0.80
Goals conceded
1.10
2.40
Total goals
1.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Stoke attack

1.60goals per match
Preston conceded1.10
Matchup

Preston attack

0.80goals per match
Stoke conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.20
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
4.40
Corners against
6.10
9.20
Match total
10.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.00N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.00
Match total
3.80
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

13.10N=10
Committed
12.70N=10
26.50
Match total
25.40

Shots

13.00N=10
Shots
12.70N=10
4.50
On target
3.20
12%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches76
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.9%34.2%-10.7 pp
Draw29.4%43.4%+14.0 pp
Away25.6%22.4%-3.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.563.2%
Over 2.534.2%
Over 3.515.8%
BTTS51.3%

Historical average

1.120.96

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-121.1%
0-018.4%
2-110.5%
1-09.2%
0-19.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.204.28
Average total9.47

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=76.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.9%
Over 9.546.1%
Over 10.532.9%
Over 11.522.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches35
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT28.6%16.3%–45.1% CI
Draw FT51.4%35.6%–67.0% CI
Away FT20.0%10.0%–35.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal60.0%
2+ goals28.6%
3+ goals11.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home40.0%
Away42.9%