Championship · 2019/20
2020-02-12 · 19:45
12.9532.1%
X3.1130.5%
22.5337.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Millwall
DWWDDLWWWL
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Fulham
LDWWLLDWDW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
0.90
1.20
Conceded
0.90
60%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.90
1.80
2H goals
0.90
90%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

6.60N=10
For
4.50N=10
3.30
Against
5.40
9.90
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.90
1.20
Goals conceded
0.90
2.90
Total goals
1.80
90%9/10
Over 1.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Millwall attack

1.70goals per match
Fulham conceded0.90
Matchup

Fulham attack

0.90goals per match
Millwall conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
3.30
Corners against
5.40
9.90
Match total
9.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.50N=10
2.90
Match total
3.00
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.60N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
23.40
Match total
23.00

Shots

12.60N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
4.50
On target
3.60
13%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches36
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.1%44.4%+12.3 pp
Draw30.5%27.8%-2.7 pp
Away37.4%27.8%-9.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.4%
Over 2.541.7%
Over 3.511.1%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

1.310.92

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-116.7%
1-113.9%
1-211.1%
0-011.1%
0-111.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.975.33
Average total10.31

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=36.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.566.7%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.538.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%10.2%–49.5% CI
Draw FT37.5%18.5%–61.4% CI
Away FT37.5%18.5%–61.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.38

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals43.8%
3+ goals18.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home43.8%
Away62.5%