Championship · 2019/20
2020-02-12 · 19:45
13.4827.3%
X3.4527.5%
22.1045.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Luton
WLLWWLDLWL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Sheffield Weds
DLLWDWLWLD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
1.70
1.50
Conceded
1.30
80%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
80%
By half
0.80
1H goals
1.30
2.30
2H goals
1.70
100%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
6.20N=10
For
6.40N=10
6.50
Against
5.20
12.70
Total
11.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.70
1.50
Goals conceded
1.30
3.10
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Luton attack
1.60goals per matchSheffield Weds conceded1.30Matchup
Sheffield Weds attack
1.70goals per matchLuton conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.90
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.30
2H goals scored
0.80
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
6.40N=10
6.50
Corners against
5.20
12.70
Match total
11.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
0.90N=10
For
1.70N=10
2.60
Match total
2.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
8.20N=10
Committed
17.10N=10
21.80
Match total
25.80
Shots
11.70N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
3.50
On target
4.00
14%
Conversion
15%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches31
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.3%29.0%+1.8 pp
Draw27.5%29.0%+1.5 pp
Away45.2%41.9%-3.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.554.8%
Over 3.525.8%
BTTS58.1%
Historical average
1.10–1.48
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-212.9%
1-112.9%
0-39.7%
1-49.7%
1-09.7%
Comparable corner averages
4.58–5.77
Average total10.35
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=31.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.567.7%
Over 9.554.8%
Over 10.548.4%
Over 11.541.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.1%8.5%–43.3% CI
Draw FT57.9%36.3%–76.9% CI
Away FT21.1%8.5%–43.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.21
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal57.9%
2+ goals42.1%
3+ goals15.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home36.8%
Away47.4%