Championship · 2019/20
2020-02-12 · 19:45
13.4827.3%
X3.4527.5%
22.1045.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Luton
WLLWWLDLWL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Sheffield Weds
DLLWDWLWLD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.70
1.50
Conceded
1.30
80%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
80%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.30
2.30
2H goals
1.70
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.20N=10
For
6.40N=10
6.50
Against
5.20
12.70
Total
11.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.70
1.50
Goals conceded
1.30
3.10
Total goals
3.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Luton attack

1.60goals per match
Sheffield Weds conceded1.30
Matchup

Sheffield Weds attack

1.70goals per match
Luton conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.90
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.80
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.90
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
80%8/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
6.40N=10
6.50
Corners against
5.20
12.70
Match total
11.60
100%10/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
100%10/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.90N=10
For
1.70N=10
2.60
Match total
2.50
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

8.20N=10
Committed
17.10N=10
21.80
Match total
25.80

Shots

11.70N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
3.50
On target
4.00
14%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches31
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.3%29.0%+1.8 pp
Draw27.5%29.0%+1.5 pp
Away45.2%41.9%-3.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.554.8%
Over 3.525.8%
BTTS58.1%

Historical average

1.101.48

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-212.9%
1-112.9%
0-39.7%
1-49.7%
1-09.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.585.77
Average total10.35

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=31.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.7%
Over 9.554.8%
Over 10.548.4%
Over 11.541.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.1%8.5%–43.3% CI
Draw FT57.9%36.3%–76.9% CI
Away FT21.1%8.5%–43.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.21

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal57.9%
2+ goals42.1%
3+ goals15.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home36.8%
Away47.4%