Championship · 2019/20
2020-02-12 · 19:45
12.2342.5%
X3.2828.9%
23.3228.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bristol City
WDDWLLWLWL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Derby
LLLLLLDDLW
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
0.80
1.60
Conceded
2.10
70%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.60
1H goals
0.60
1.50
2H goals
2.30
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
3.50N=10
5.20
Against
6.80
10.90
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.80
1.60
Goals conceded
2.10
3.10
Total goals
2.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Bristol City attack

1.50goals per match
Derby conceded2.10
Matchup

Derby attack

0.80goals per match
Bristol City conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.10
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.70
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
90%9/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
5.20
Corners against
6.80
10.90
Match total
10.30
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.90N=10
For
2.90N=10
2.90
Match total
4.50
30%3/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

9.90N=10
Committed
14.90N=10
23.70
Match total
25.30

Shots

11.00N=10
Shots
9.90N=10
4.00
On target
3.30
14%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches71
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.5%47.9%+5.4 pp
Draw28.9%25.4%-3.6 pp
Away28.6%26.8%-1.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.2%
Over 2.542.3%
Over 3.523.9%
BTTS39.4%

Historical average

1.411.03

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-015.5%
2-011.3%
0-011.3%
1-18.5%
0-17.0%

Comparable corner averages

6.064.45
Average total10.51

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=71.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.4%
Over 9.562.0%
Over 10.549.3%
Over 11.540.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT43.5%25.6%–63.2% CI
Draw FT39.1%22.2%–59.2% CI
Away FT17.4%7.0%–37.1% CI

Remaining goals

0.96

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal65.2%
2+ goals21.7%
3+ goals8.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home47.8%
Away26.1%