Championship · 2019/20
2020-02-11 · 19:45
12.4239.3%
X3.3028.8%
22.9831.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Brentford
WLWWWWWWLW
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM
Leeds
DDWWWLWDLL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Goals
2.30
Scored
1.30
0.90
Conceded
1.20
60%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.50
1H goals
0.70
1.70
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
7.40N=10
For
8.00N=10
4.20
Against
5.30
11.60
Total
13.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.30
0.90
Goals conceded
1.20
3.20
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Brentford attack
2.30goals per matchLeeds conceded1.20Matchup
Leeds attack
1.30goals per matchBrentford conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
0.20
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
1.10
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.40N=10
Corners for
8.00N=10
4.20
Corners against
5.30
11.60
Match total
13.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.10N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.70
Match total
4.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.30N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
23.20
Match total
24.50
Shots
16.40N=10
Shots
14.80N=10
5.90
On target
4.20
14%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches111
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.3%39.6%+0.4 pp
Draw28.8%34.2%+5.4 pp
Away31.9%26.1%-5.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.567.6%
Over 2.540.5%
Over 3.525.2%
BTTS51.4%
Historical average
1.34–1.11
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.3%
1-012.6%
0-011.7%
2-19.0%
0-18.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.36–5.14
Average total10.50
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=111.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.570.3%
Over 9.561.3%
Over 10.547.7%
Over 11.537.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches41
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT22.0%12.0%–36.7% CI
Draw FT51.2%36.5%–65.7% CI
Away FT26.8%15.7%–41.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.12
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal68.3%
2+ goals36.6%
3+ goals7.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home43.9%
Away48.8%