Championship · 2019/20
2020-02-09 · 13:30
12.8133.7%
X3.1330.2%
22.6236.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Millwall
WDWWDDLWWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
West Brom
LWWWWDWDDL
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.30
1.10
Conceded
0.90
70%
Over 2.5
30%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.80
1.80
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.80N=10
For
4.80N=10
2.50
Against
4.60
9.30
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.30
1.10
Goals conceded
0.90
3.00
Total goals
2.20
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Millwall attack

1.90goals per match
West Brom conceded0.90
Matchup

West Brom attack

1.30goals per match
Millwall conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.80
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
2.50
Corners against
4.60
9.30
Match total
9.40
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.70N=10
3.00
Match total
4.20
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.90N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
23.70
Match total
24.40

Shots

13.10N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
4.90
On target
3.20
15%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches78
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.7%32.1%-1.6 pp
Draw30.2%33.3%+3.1 pp
Away36.1%34.6%-1.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.5%
Over 2.544.9%
Over 3.525.6%
BTTS51.3%

Historical average

1.191.26

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-011.5%
2-110.3%
2-210.3%
0-110.3%
1-110.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.744.95
Average total9.69

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=78.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.4%
Over 9.552.6%
Over 10.538.5%
Over 11.528.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches29
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.6%14.7%–45.7% CI
Draw FT41.4%25.5%–59.3% CI
Away FT31.0%17.3%–49.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.34

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.0%
2+ goals41.4%
3+ goals17.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home44.8%
Away51.7%