Championship · 2019/20
2020-02-08 · 17:30
13.9224.2%
X3.4827.2%
21.9548.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nott'm Forest
WLWLDLWWWD
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Leeds
LDDWWWLWDL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.40
1.20
Conceded
1.20
40%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.80
1.30
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

7.50N=10
For
7.30N=10
4.40
Against
5.60
11.90
Total
12.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.40
1.20
Goals conceded
1.20
2.40
Total goals
2.60
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Nott'm Forest attack

1.20goals per match
Leeds conceded1.20
Matchup

Leeds attack

1.40goals per match
Nott'm Forest conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.20
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.90
2H goals scored
1.20
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.50N=10
Corners for
7.30N=10
4.40
Corners against
5.60
11.90
Match total
12.90
90%9/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
1.90N=10
2.90
Match total
4.30
30%3/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.40N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
25.00
Match total
24.80

Shots

15.40N=10
Shots
14.00N=10
3.40
On target
4.20
8%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches28
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home24.2%14.3%-9.9 pp
Draw27.2%25.0%-2.2 pp
Away48.6%60.7%+12.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.560.7%
Over 3.539.3%
BTTS60.7%

Historical average

1.071.86

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-117.9%
1-214.3%
0-010.7%
2-17.1%
0-47.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.825.61
Average total10.43

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=28.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.3%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.546.4%
Over 11.539.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI
Draw FT38.5%17.7%–64.5% CI
Away FT38.5%17.7%–64.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.38

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.2%
2+ goals30.8%
3+ goals30.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home30.8%
Away61.5%