Championship · 2019/20
2020-02-08 · 15:00
11.9947.5%
X3.4727.3%
23.7525.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Swansea
LLWLLDWDWW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Derby
DLLLLLLDDL
0W 3D 7L · 0.30 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
0.70
1.10
Conceded
2.10
50%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.30
1H goals
0.80
0.80
2H goals
2.00
60%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

7.00N=10
For
3.50N=10
3.50
Against
7.30
10.50
Total
10.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.70
1.10
Goals conceded
2.10
2.10
Total goals
2.80
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Swansea attack

1.00goals per match
Derby conceded2.10
Matchup

Derby attack

0.70goals per match
Swansea conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.20
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.50
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
80%8/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.00N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
3.50
Corners against
7.30
10.50
Match total
10.80
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.90N=10
For
2.50N=10
2.40
Match total
4.20
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.30N=10
Committed
14.70N=10
24.40
Match total
26.60

Shots

14.80N=10
Shots
10.30N=10
4.80
On target
3.50
7%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches91
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.5%46.2%-1.4 pp
Draw27.3%26.4%-0.9 pp
Away25.2%27.5%+2.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.1%
Over 2.549.5%
Over 3.523.1%
BTTS50.5%

Historical average

1.441.01

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-014.3%
2-113.2%
0-111.0%
2-29.9%
1-18.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.705.08
Average total10.78

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=91.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.1%
Over 9.560.4%
Over 10.548.4%
Over 11.541.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches31
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.7%23.7%–56.2% CI
Draw FT25.8%13.7%–43.2% CI
Away FT35.5%21.1%–53.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.35

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.6%
2+ goals29.0%
3+ goals16.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.6%
Away51.6%