Championship · 2019/20
2020-02-08 · 15:00
13.1230.4%
X3.4927.1%
22.2342.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Luton
DWLLWWLDLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Cardiff
LDLDWLDWLD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
1.70
Scored
1.50
1.50
Conceded
2.20
80%
Over 2.5
70%
80%
BTTS
80%
By half
0.80
1H goals
1.80
2.40
2H goals
1.90
100%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
6.30N=10
For
4.80N=10
6.20
Against
7.30
12.50
Total
12.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongBoth teams scored
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.50
1.50
Goals conceded
2.20
3.20
Total goals
3.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Luton attack
1.70goals per matchCardiff conceded2.20Matchup
Cardiff attack
1.50goals per matchLuton conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.40
2H goals scored
1.10
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
6.20
Corners against
7.30
12.50
Match total
12.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
0.90N=10
For
1.60N=10
2.70
Match total
2.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
8.00N=10
Committed
13.30N=10
22.00
Match total
23.60
Shots
12.00N=10
Shots
12.20N=10
3.70
On target
4.30
14%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches41
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.4%34.1%+3.8 pp
Draw27.1%22.0%-5.2 pp
Away42.5%43.9%+1.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.558.5%
Over 3.531.7%
BTTS51.2%
Historical average
1.29–1.49
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-212.2%
0-19.8%
0-09.8%
3-27.3%
0-37.3%
Comparable corner averages
5.90–4.78
Average total10.68
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=41.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.578.0%
Over 9.565.9%
Over 10.548.8%
Over 11.536.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Draw FT50.0%23.7%–76.3% CI
Away FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.30
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal60.0%
2+ goals30.0%
3+ goals20.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home30.0%
Away60.0%