Championship · 2019/20
2020-02-08 · 15:00
13.1230.4%
X3.4927.1%
22.2342.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Luton
DWLLWWLDLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Cardiff
LDLDWLDWLD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.50
1.50
Conceded
2.20
80%
Over 2.5
70%
80%
BTTS
80%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.80
2.40
2H goals
1.90
100%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.30N=10
For
4.80N=10
6.20
Against
7.30
12.50
Total
12.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.50
1.50
Goals conceded
2.20
3.20
Total goals
3.70
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Luton attack

1.70goals per match
Cardiff conceded2.20
Matchup

Cardiff attack

1.50goals per match
Luton conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.40
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.40
2H goals scored
1.10
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.80
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
80%8/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
6.20
Corners against
7.30
12.50
Match total
12.10
100%10/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
90%9/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.90N=10
For
1.60N=10
2.70
Match total
2.60
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

8.00N=10
Committed
13.30N=10
22.00
Match total
23.60

Shots

12.00N=10
Shots
12.20N=10
3.70
On target
4.30
14%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches41
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.4%34.1%+3.8 pp
Draw27.1%22.0%-5.2 pp
Away42.5%43.9%+1.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.558.5%
Over 3.531.7%
BTTS51.2%

Historical average

1.291.49

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-212.2%
0-19.8%
0-09.8%
3-27.3%
0-37.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.904.78
Average total10.68

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=41.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.578.0%
Over 9.565.9%
Over 10.548.8%
Over 11.536.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Draw FT50.0%23.7%–76.3% CI
Away FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.30

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal60.0%
2+ goals30.0%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home30.0%
Away60.0%