Championship · 2019/20
2020-02-01 · 15:00
12.1244.6%
X3.3628.1%
23.4727.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Preston
WDWWLWWLLW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Swansea
WDWDDLWLDL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.10
1.30
Conceded
1.60
60%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.30
1.70
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
5.60N=10
4.60
Against
5.70
10.60
Total
11.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.10
1.30
Goals conceded
1.60
3.10
Total goals
2.70
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Preston attack

1.80goals per match
Swansea conceded1.60
Matchup

Swansea attack

1.10goals per match
Preston conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
4.60
Corners against
5.70
10.60
Match total
11.30
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.10N=10
For
1.60N=10
2.50
Match total
3.50
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

9.70N=10
Committed
10.00N=10
21.60
Match total
22.10

Shots

14.60N=10
Shots
12.00N=10
5.10
On target
3.80
12%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches96
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.6%49.0%+4.4 pp
Draw28.1%20.8%-7.3 pp
Away27.3%30.2%+3.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.545.8%
Over 3.524.0%
BTTS46.9%

Historical average

1.421.11

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-018.8%
1-112.5%
2-17.3%
0-27.3%
2-07.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.964.41
Average total10.36

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=96.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.6%
Over 9.553.1%
Over 10.543.8%
Over 11.537.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches26
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT53.8%35.5%–71.2% CI
Draw FT30.8%16.5%–50.0% CI
Away FT15.4%6.2%–33.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.35

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal88.5%
2+ goals30.8%
3+ goals11.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home73.1%
Away38.5%