Championship · 2019/20
2020-01-31 · 19:45
12.8133.8%
X3.0830.8%
22.6835.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Derby
WWWWDDLWWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Stoke
WLLWLLLLWW
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.40
0.50
Conceded
1.40
20%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.10
0.90
2H goals
1.70
70%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
3.20N=10
5.50
Against
5.30
11.20
Total
8.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.40
0.50
Goals conceded
1.40
1.80
Total goals
2.80
60%6/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Derby attack

1.30goals per match
Stoke conceded1.40
Matchup

Stoke attack

1.40goals per match
Derby conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
5.50
Corners against
5.30
11.20
Match total
8.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
1.60N=10
3.10
Match total
3.50
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.30N=10
Committed
13.60N=10
23.20
Match total
25.70

Shots

13.10N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
4.00
On target
4.20
10%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches63
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.8%39.7%+5.9 pp
Draw30.8%36.5%+5.7 pp
Away35.4%23.8%-11.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.533.3%
Over 3.515.9%
BTTS50.8%

Historical average

1.251.02

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-119.0%
2-111.1%
1-011.1%
0-19.5%
2-09.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.794.29
Average total9.08

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=63.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.552.4%
Over 9.546.0%
Over 10.533.3%
Over 11.520.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches25
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.0%20.2%–55.5% CI
Draw FT40.0%23.4%–59.3% CI
Away FT24.0%11.5%–43.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.40

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.0%
2+ goals44.0%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.0%
Away56.0%