Championship · 2019/20
2020-01-31 · 19:45
12.1444.3%
X3.3328.5%
23.4927.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Cardiff
WDWLWWDDDW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Reading
LDLWDDWWLD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.10
0.80
Conceded
1.00
40%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.90
1H goals
0.70
1.40
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
3.70N=10
5.60
Against
5.60
9.90
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.10
0.80
Goals conceded
1.00
2.30
Total goals
2.10
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Cardiff attack

1.50goals per match
Reading conceded1.00
Matchup

Reading attack

1.10goals per match
Cardiff conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.30
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
5.60
Corners against
5.60
9.90
Match total
9.30
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.10
Match total
3.80
30%3/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.20N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
26.50
Match total
24.80

Shots

11.00N=10
Shots
11.40N=10
3.60
On target
3.00
14%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches132
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.3%46.2%+1.9 pp
Draw28.5%25.8%-2.7 pp
Away27.2%28.0%+0.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.3%
Over 2.546.2%
Over 3.523.5%
BTTS52.3%

Historical average

1.471.17

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.2%
1-012.1%
1-29.1%
2-09.1%
2-17.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.764.17
Average total9.93

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=132.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.2%
Over 9.550.8%
Over 10.543.9%
Over 11.534.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches45
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.0%27.0%–54.5% CI
Draw FT37.8%25.1%–52.4% CI
Away FT22.2%12.5%–36.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.40

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal82.2%
2+ goals42.2%
3+ goals13.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home64.4%
Away46.7%