Championship · 2019/20
2020-01-28 · 20:00
12.1943.3%
X3.3728.2%
23.3328.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Reading
LLWWWLLWWD
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Bristol City
DDLDWLWLLW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.40
1.20
Conceded
1.80
60%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.80
1.60
2H goals
2.40
100%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
4.60N=10
6.00
Against
7.20
12.00
Total
11.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.40
1.20
Goals conceded
1.80
2.70
Total goals
3.20
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Reading attack

1.50goals per match
Bristol City conceded1.80
Matchup

Bristol City attack

1.40goals per match
Reading conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
1.00
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.40
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
90%9/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
6.00
Corners against
7.20
12.00
Match total
11.80
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.50N=10
3.10
Match total
3.30
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

11.60N=10
Committed
11.00N=10
25.20
Match total
22.20

Shots

13.10N=10
Shots
9.00N=10
4.40
On target
2.90
11%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches92
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.3%48.9%+5.6 pp
Draw28.2%19.6%-8.6 pp
Away28.5%31.5%+3.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.6%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.526.1%
BTTS47.8%

Historical average

1.471.15

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-017.4%
1-19.8%
2-18.7%
0-07.6%
1-27.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.774.22
Average total9.99

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=92.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.8%
Over 9.546.7%
Over 10.541.3%
Over 11.533.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches26
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%32.1%–67.9% CI
Draw FT34.6%19.4%–53.8% CI
Away FT15.4%6.2%–33.5% CI

Remaining goals

0.96

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.1%
2+ goals19.2%
3+ goals3.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.7%
Away23.1%