Championship · 2019/20
2020-01-28 · 20:00
12.1943.3%
X3.3728.2%
23.3328.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Reading
LLWWWLLWWD
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Bristol City
DDLDWLWLLW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
1.40
1.20
Conceded
1.80
60%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.10
1H goals
0.80
1.60
2H goals
2.40
100%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
6.00N=10
For
4.60N=10
6.00
Against
7.20
12.00
Total
11.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.40
1.20
Goals conceded
1.80
2.70
Total goals
3.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Reading attack
1.50goals per matchBristol City conceded1.80Matchup
Bristol City attack
1.40goals per matchReading conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
1.00
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
6.00
Corners against
7.20
12.00
Match total
11.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
1.50N=10
3.10
Match total
3.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.60N=10
Committed
11.00N=10
25.20
Match total
22.20
Shots
13.10N=10
Shots
9.00N=10
4.40
On target
2.90
11%
Conversion
16%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches92
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.3%48.9%+5.6 pp
Draw28.2%19.6%-8.6 pp
Away28.5%31.5%+3.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.569.6%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.526.1%
BTTS47.8%
Historical average
1.47–1.15
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-017.4%
1-19.8%
2-18.7%
0-07.6%
1-27.6%
Comparable corner averages
5.77–4.22
Average total9.99
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=92.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.559.8%
Over 9.546.7%
Over 10.541.3%
Over 11.533.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches26
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%32.1%–67.9% CI
Draw FT34.6%19.4%–53.8% CI
Away FT15.4%6.2%–33.5% CI
Remaining goals
0.96
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal73.1%
2+ goals19.2%
3+ goals3.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home57.7%
Away23.1%