Championship · 2019/20
2020-01-28 · 19:45
11.5362.0%
X3.9224.2%
26.9113.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Leeds
DWWWWWWDDL
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Millwall
DDLLWDWWDD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.10
0.80
Conceded
1.00
30%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.70
1.40
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

7.60N=10
For
4.40N=10
3.60
Against
5.80
11.20
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.10
0.80
Goals conceded
1.00
2.50
Total goals
2.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Leeds attack

1.70goals per match
Millwall conceded1.00
Matchup

Millwall attack

1.10goals per match
Leeds conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.40
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.60N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
3.60
Corners against
5.80
11.20
Match total
10.20
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.30N=10
4.20
Match total
2.10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10

Fouls

9.70N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
25.60
Match total
22.80

Shots

16.40N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
5.80
On target
3.50
10%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches21
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home62.0%76.2%+14.1 pp
Draw24.2%9.5%-14.7 pp
Away13.7%14.3%+0.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.561.9%
Over 3.538.1%
BTTS57.1%

Historical average

2.000.86

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-033.3%
2-119.0%
3-19.5%
4-04.8%
2-34.8%

Comparable corner averages

6.573.48
Average total10.05

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=21.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.571.4%
Over 9.557.1%
Over 10.547.6%
Over 11.528.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT63.6%35.4%–84.8% CI
Draw FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI
Away FT9.1%1.6%–37.7% CI

Remaining goals

0.91

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals9.1%
3+ goals0.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home72.7%
Away18.2%