Championship · 2019/20
2020-01-28 · 19:45
11.6557.6%
X3.7525.4%
25.5817.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Brentford
DDWLWWWWWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Nott'm Forest
WDLWDWDLWD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Goals
2.10
Scored
1.60
0.70
Conceded
1.00
50%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.30
1H goals
0.80
1.50
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
7.40N=10
For
5.40N=10
4.00
Against
7.20
11.40
Total
12.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.60
0.70
Goals conceded
1.00
2.80
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Brentford attack
2.10goals per matchNott'm Forest conceded1.00Matchup
Nott'm Forest attack
1.60goals per matchBrentford conceded0.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.40
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
1.20
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.40N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
4.00
Corners against
7.20
11.40
Match total
12.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.20N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.90
Match total
3.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.90N=10
Committed
12.10N=10
21.90
Match total
22.30
Shots
16.70N=10
Shots
12.00N=10
5.90
On target
4.20
13%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches45
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home57.6%55.6%-2.1 pp
Draw25.4%24.4%-0.9 pp
Away17.0%20.0%+3.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.546.7%
Over 3.522.2%
BTTS55.6%
Historical average
1.69–0.91
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-117.8%
2-113.3%
1-011.1%
2-011.1%
1-28.9%
Comparable corner averages
6.07–3.84
Average total9.91
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=45.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.0%
Over 9.553.3%
Over 10.542.2%
Over 11.533.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches20
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.0%25.8%–65.8% CI
Draw FT30.0%14.5%–51.9% CI
Away FT25.0%11.2%–46.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.65
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal95.0%
2+ goals55.0%
3+ goals10.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home75.0%
Away50.0%