Championship · 2019/20
2020-01-25 · 15:00
12.0546.2%
X3.3728.1%
23.6925.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Stoke
LLWLWLWDWD
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Swansea
DWDWDDLWLD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.10
1.10
Conceded
1.40
50%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.30
1.50
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
5.20N=10
3.30
Against
5.80
9.00
Total
11.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.10
1.10
Goals conceded
1.40
2.40
Total goals
2.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Stoke attack

1.30goals per match
Swansea conceded1.40
Matchup

Swansea attack

1.10goals per match
Stoke conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
3.30
Corners against
5.80
9.00
Match total
11.00
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.10N=10
For
1.50N=10
3.00
Match total
3.50
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

11.90N=10
Committed
10.30N=10
25.90
Match total
22.10

Shots

14.20N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
4.20
On target
3.70
9%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches78
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.2%50.0%+3.8 pp
Draw28.1%28.2%+0.1 pp
Away25.7%21.8%-3.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.521.8%
BTTS59.0%

Historical average

1.550.95

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-115.4%
1-114.1%
1-011.5%
1-210.3%
0-17.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.584.64
Average total10.22

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=78.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.4%
Over 9.552.6%
Over 10.539.7%
Over 11.530.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches27
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT51.9%34.0%–69.3% CI
Draw FT25.9%13.2%–44.7% CI
Away FT22.2%10.6%–40.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.37

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.5%
2+ goals37.0%
3+ goals14.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home63.0%
Away40.7%