Championship · 2019/20
2020-01-19 · 12:00
11.6059.3%
X4.1522.8%
25.3017.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nott'm Forest
DWWLWLDLWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Luton
WLLLLLLLLL
1W 0D 9L · 0.30 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
0.70
1.10
Conceded
2.90
30%
Over 2.5
90%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.90
1.10
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

7.10N=10
For
3.40N=10
4.80
Against
6.30
11.90
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.70
1.10
Goals conceded
2.90
2.10
Total goals
3.60
50%5/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
90%9/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Nott'm Forest attack

1.00goals per match
Luton conceded2.90
Matchup

Luton attack

0.70goals per match
Nott'm Forest conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.30
0.80
1H goals conceded
1.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.40
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.10N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
4.80
Corners against
6.30
11.90
Match total
9.70
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.50N=10
3.30
Match total
2.10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

10.90N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
23.10
Match total
22.70

Shots

13.80N=10
Shots
7.40N=10
2.80
On target
2.40
7%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches34
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home59.3%58.8%-0.4 pp
Draw22.8%17.6%-5.2 pp
Away17.9%23.5%+5.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.6%
Over 2.552.9%
Over 3.523.5%
BTTS41.2%

Historical average

1.760.79

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-014.7%
2-18.8%
1-28.8%
2-08.8%
3-08.8%

Comparable corner averages

6.683.44
Average total10.12

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=34.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.573.5%
Over 9.552.9%
Over 10.547.1%
Over 11.526.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT61.5%35.5%–82.3% CI
Draw FT30.8%12.7%–57.6% CI
Away FT7.7%1.4%–33.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.38

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.9%
2+ goals38.5%
3+ goals23.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home69.2%
Away30.8%