Championship · 2019/20
2020-01-18 · 15:00
12.1743.7%
X3.2129.6%
23.5526.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Millwall
LWDWWDDLWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Reading
LDLDLWDDWW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.10
1.30
Conceded
0.90
80%
Over 2.5
30%
80%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.80
1.90
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.40N=10
For
4.80N=10
2.70
Against
4.90
9.10
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.10
1.30
Goals conceded
0.90
3.10
Total goals
2.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
80%8/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Millwall attack

1.80goals per match
Reading conceded0.90
Matchup

Reading attack

1.10goals per match
Millwall conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.70
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
2.70
Corners against
4.90
9.10
Match total
9.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.10
Match total
3.70
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.50N=10
Committed
13.30N=10
23.20
Match total
25.50

Shots

12.20N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
4.60
On target
3.80
15%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches82
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.7%37.8%-5.9 pp
Draw29.6%36.6%+7.0 pp
Away26.7%25.6%-1.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.563.4%
Over 2.539.0%
Over 3.520.7%
BTTS48.8%

Historical average

1.270.98

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.9%
0-114.6%
0-013.4%
1-08.5%
2-18.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.024.30
Average total9.33

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=82.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.550.0%
Over 9.540.2%
Over 10.530.5%
Over 11.524.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches31
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT29.0%16.1%–46.6% CI
Draw FT41.9%26.4%–59.2% CI
Away FT29.0%16.1%–46.6% CI

Remaining goals

0.90

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal64.5%
2+ goals19.4%
3+ goals6.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home35.5%
Away41.9%