Championship · 2019/20
2020-01-18 · 15:00
12.3740.0%
X3.3328.5%
23.0131.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Birmingham
LWWWLDLLLL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Cardiff
DLDLDWLDWL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.60
1.80
Conceded
2.30
50%
Over 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.80
2.00
2H goals
2.10
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

7.40N=10
For
5.00N=10
4.60
Against
7.00
12.00
Total
12.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.60
1.80
Goals conceded
2.30
3.20
Total goals
3.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Birmingham attack

1.40goals per match
Cardiff conceded2.30
Matchup

Cardiff attack

1.60goals per match
Birmingham conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
1.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.20
1.20
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.40N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
4.60
Corners against
7.00
12.00
Match total
12.00
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.30N=10
3.50
Match total
2.40
60%6/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

12.80N=10
Committed
13.40N=10
23.70
Match total
23.70

Shots

15.10N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
4.60
On target
4.40
9%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches97
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.0%35.1%-5.0 pp
Draw28.5%34.0%+5.5 pp
Away31.5%30.9%-0.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.563.9%
Over 2.540.2%
Over 3.525.8%
BTTS47.4%

Historical average

1.221.11

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-015.5%
1-112.4%
1-011.3%
0-19.3%
1-27.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.495.20
Average total10.69

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=97.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.1%
Over 9.559.8%
Over 10.549.5%
Over 11.541.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches42
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT19.0%10.0%–33.3% CI
Draw FT54.8%39.9%–68.8% CI
Away FT26.2%15.3%–41.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.07

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal64.3%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals9.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home40.5%
Away50.0%