Championship · 2019/20
2020-01-18 · 15:00
12.3740.0%
X3.3328.5%
23.0131.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Birmingham
LWWWLDLLLL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Cardiff
DLDLDWLDWL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
1.60
1.80
Conceded
2.30
50%
Over 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.80
2.00
2H goals
2.10
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
7.40N=10
For
5.00N=10
4.60
Against
7.00
12.00
Total
12.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.60
1.80
Goals conceded
2.30
3.20
Total goals
3.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Birmingham attack
1.40goals per matchCardiff conceded2.30Matchup
Cardiff attack
1.60goals per matchBirmingham conceded1.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
1.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
1.20
1.20
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.40N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
4.60
Corners against
7.00
12.00
Match total
12.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
1.30N=10
3.50
Match total
2.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.80N=10
Committed
13.40N=10
23.70
Match total
23.70
Shots
15.10N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
4.60
On target
4.40
9%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches97
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.0%35.1%-5.0 pp
Draw28.5%34.0%+5.5 pp
Away31.5%30.9%-0.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.563.9%
Over 2.540.2%
Over 3.525.8%
BTTS47.4%
Historical average
1.22–1.11
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-015.5%
1-112.4%
1-011.3%
0-19.3%
1-27.2%
Comparable corner averages
5.49–5.20
Average total10.69
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=97.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.570.1%
Over 9.559.8%
Over 10.549.5%
Over 11.541.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches42
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT19.0%10.0%–33.3% CI
Draw FT54.8%39.9%–68.8% CI
Away FT26.2%15.3%–41.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.07
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal64.3%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals9.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home40.5%
Away50.0%