Championship · 2019/20
2020-01-18 · 12:30
14.2922.1%
X3.9723.9%
21.7653.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
QPR
LWDLDLWDLW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Leeds
LLDDWWWLWD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Goals
2.00
Scored
1.40
2.00
Conceded
1.20
80%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.50
1H goals
0.80
2.50
2H goals
1.80
100%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.70N=10
For
7.50N=10
5.30
Against
5.40
10.00
Total
12.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.40
2.00
Goals conceded
1.20
4.00
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
QPR attack
2.00goals per matchLeeds conceded1.20Matchup
Leeds attack
1.40goals per matchQPR conceded2.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
1.20
1.50
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
7.50N=10
5.30
Corners against
5.40
10.00
Match total
12.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
1.70N=10
4.30
Match total
4.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.30N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
26.20
Match total
24.40
Shots
12.00N=10
Shots
14.20N=10
5.40
On target
4.30
17%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches20
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home22.1%15.0%-7.1 pp
Draw23.9%30.0%+6.1 pp
Away53.9%55.0%+1.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.590.0%
Over 2.570.0%
Over 3.545.0%
BTTS80.0%
Historical average
1.35–2.15
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-215.0%
1-115.0%
3-310.0%
1-410.0%
2-310.0%
Comparable corner averages
4.10–5.70
Average total9.80
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=20.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.0%
Over 9.545.0%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.525.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.8%10.6%–45.1% CI
Draw FT52.4%32.4%–71.7% CI
Away FT23.8%10.6%–45.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.14
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal71.4%
2+ goals42.9%
3+ goals0.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home47.6%
Away47.6%