Premier League · 2025/26
2026-05-24 · 16:00
13.4727.0%
X3.5926.1%
21.9947.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sunderland
DDWWLLLWLD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Chelsea
DDLWWLWLLD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
0.80
Scored
1.60
1.20
Conceded
1.70
40%
Over 2.5
80%
30%
BTTS
80%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.60
1.10
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
3.80N=10
For
6.00N=10
5.80
Against
4.50
9.60
Total
10.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.60
1.20
Goals conceded
1.70
2.00
Total goals
3.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sunderland attack
0.80goals per matchChelsea conceded1.70Matchup
Chelsea attack
1.60goals per matchSunderland conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.80
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.80
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
6.00N=10
5.80
Corners against
4.50
9.60
Match total
10.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.40N=10
For
2.70N=10
3.60
Match total
4.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.60N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
21.30
Match total
22.20
Shots
12.40N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
3.70
On target
4.30
6%
Conversion
15%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches324
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.0%20.7%-6.3 pp
Draw26.1%26.2%+0.2 pp
Away47.0%53.1%+6.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.555.2%
Over 3.533.3%
BTTS58.3%
Historical average
1.09–1.76
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-211.7%
1-110.5%
0-19.6%
0-28.6%
2-27.4%
Comparable corner averages
4.54–5.41
Average total9.96
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=324.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.568.8%
Over 9.554.6%
Over 10.540.1%
Over 11.529.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches100
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT18.0%11.7%–26.7% CI
Draw FT37.0%28.2%–46.8% CI
Away FT45.0%35.6%–54.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.68
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal79.0%
2+ goals53.0%
3+ goals28.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home51.0%
Away67.0%