Premier League · 2025/26
2026-05-24 · 16:00
13.4727.0%
X3.5926.1%
21.9947.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sunderland
DDWWLLLWLD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Chelsea
DDLWWLWLLD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.60
1.20
Conceded
1.70
40%
Over 2.5
80%
30%
BTTS
80%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.60
1.10
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.80N=10
For
6.00N=10
5.80
Against
4.50
9.60
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.60
1.20
Goals conceded
1.70
2.00
Total goals
3.30
50%5/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Sunderland attack

0.80goals per match
Chelsea conceded1.70
Matchup

Chelsea attack

1.60goals per match
Sunderland conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.80
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.80
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
6.00N=10
5.80
Corners against
4.50
9.60
Match total
10.50
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.70N=10
3.60
Match total
4.60
40%4/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

9.60N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
21.30
Match total
22.20

Shots

12.40N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
3.70
On target
4.30
6%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches324
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.0%20.7%-6.3 pp
Draw26.1%26.2%+0.2 pp
Away47.0%53.1%+6.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.555.2%
Over 3.533.3%
BTTS58.3%

Historical average

1.091.76

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-211.7%
1-110.5%
0-19.6%
0-28.6%
2-27.4%

Comparable corner averages

4.545.41
Average total9.96

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=324.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.8%
Over 9.554.6%
Over 10.540.1%
Over 11.529.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches100
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT18.0%11.7%–26.7% CI
Draw FT37.0%28.2%–46.8% CI
Away FT45.0%35.6%–54.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.68

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal79.0%
2+ goals53.0%
3+ goals28.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.0%
Away67.0%